Updated Resource Depletion Graph and Timeline

I am trying to add meaningful and appealing graphs and illustrations to my posts here (and to my seminars) but it is a struggle for me as I do not have natural graphic talent.  The effort is a process of trail, error, and migration toward improved designs.  I hope you will forgive me if I post a few trial efforts here, as I did earlier in the week with the first resource depletion graph.  That post has now been deleted and it is replaced by the graph below, which I still consider to be a work in progress.  The graph is meant to represent my best estimate (based on available data and trend lines) of when we will be depleting critical resources.  More importantly for the purposes of this blog is the color gradient in the chart, from blue to red, where increasing gradients of red equal increasing societal impacts.  The natural tendency when looking at a depletion graph (without the gradient) is to look at the end point (90-100% depletion) and look at the corresponding date and think, “okay, that is when it gets bad”, when in fact the effects of resource depletion are felt by society much, much earlier.  In the current situation, we are only 20-30% depleted in the selected critical resources, but we already see impacts in our society.  Specifically, we see impacts in societies that are the most fragile (those with few resources, with weak governance systems, with multiple resource depletion issues, etc.).  The impact moves up through stronger societies as resources are increasingly depleted, until the impact level is profound and extreme (all red).  As you look at the graph (and assuming it is more or less correct) you see that we rapidly experience greater and greater impact over the next 8 years (through 2020), and move from there to successively more profound levels of impact.  In other words, we are very much into the troubled waters already and headed into the teeth of the storm.  If that metaphor does not suit you, you can simply way we are headed into the time of trouble.  Either way, note that simultaneous depletion of several critical resources above the 50% level significantly brings about the conditions necessary to fulfill, in part, the prophecies of Matthew 24:6-8.

I do not offer this graph and accompanying timeline as a prediction of when Christ will come; such an effort would be folly for Christ can hasten or delay His coming and can certainly change events here on earth.  Or, I could simply be wrong in my expectation of the nearness of Christ’s coming – generations of Christians have been wrong before me but worked with urgency as a result of their expectations, and thus served Christ well.

I guess what I am trying to say is that the graph below may be worthy of your prayerful consideration.  I will follow this up with a similar graph looking at the decay of global systems (an effort that will involve considerable surmise and guess work) and a third graph that looks at disasters and extreme weather events and their societal impact.

I appreciate any comments while I try to improve these graphs and make them into fit communication vehicles.


Scott Christiansen